Macroeconomics and Policy China's economy has entered a medium-speed growth period. The miracle of rapid economic growth is difficult to reproduce. Lianhe Zaobao: China's macroeconomic forecast and analysis China's economy is less likely to have a "hard landing." However, if the US economy falls into a second recession, China's GDP growth will slow down to 8.24% next year, and the consumer price index will be 3.95%, which is lower than the 4% policy target... Ministry of Commerce: Three-level planning enterprise business credit construction "Economy The reporter recently learned from authoritative sources that the "Guiding Opinions on Strengthening Credit Construction in the Business Sector during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan Period" (hereinafter referred to as "Opinions") has been finalized, and the Ministry of Commerce will officially issue it in the near future. "This is the first guiding opinion for the construction of commercial credit in China. It is also the first time to clarify the framework of the government's credit construction in the business sector. It plans the construction of business credit in the next five years from the three levels of credit moral culture construction, credit system construction and commercial credit application. Insiders of the Ministry of Commerce disclosed to the "Economic Information Daily" reporter...
Monetary policy and exchange rate China's monetary policy stabilized. Renminbi was promoted to a near-term macro-control mechanism. 7-day Shibor interest rate is almost equal to 5%. Interest rate is closely related to the central bank's interest rate funds. Continued volatility, market interest rates rose for the third consecutive trading day, and the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) continued to rise on the 22nd. The 7-day interest rate approached 5% after breaking 4% on Friday, and the overnight interest rate also stood. 4% high. In the inter-bank bond market, the 1-day and 7-day repo rates also rose above 4% and 5%, respectively, while the 3-day interest rate soared 127 basis points to 4.996%. "The days of borrowing money are really sad." Bank traders lamented. Monetary policy is more cautious Recently, the central bank's open market operation has not only restarted the three-year central bank bill that has been suspended for nearly one month, but also the interest rate of the central bank bills issued last week has risen across the board, causing high concern in the industry. Li Yiping, a professor at the School of Economics of Renmin University of China, and Zhang Hongfeng, director of the Economic Research Institute of Shandong University of Economics and the special commentator of the newspaper, said in an interview with the Economic Herald on the 21st that the central bank will be more cautious about raising interest rates and the possibility of raising interest rates will be further reduced. . Zhang Guohong: The appreciation of the renminbi or an important choice for future macroeconomic regulation The market is highly concerned that when the US debt crisis has a huge impact on the global financial market, the current pace of RMB appreciation is gradually accelerating. This phenomenon is also worthy of attention. If we take the initiative to choose the exchange rate instrument in combination with the latest expression of the People's Bank of China, the appreciation of the renminbi may become an important choice for China's macroeconomic regulation and control policy adjustment under the current European and American debt crisis. This change in the macro-control of
the international market trend worthy of attention ... the US economy into a second recession or economic studies show: the United States if a double dip is not a serious impact on China Studies "China's macroeconomic quarterly model" results show that if the US economy in 2012 In the "secondary recession", although it will have a certain impact on China's import and export, employment, but if the macro policy is properly handled, China's economic growth will still reach 8.24%, and will not be seriously affected as in 2008...
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