Five major power generation groups, thermal power, three-year huge loss of 60 billion yuan, the price increase is difficult to avoid
2022-12-23 07:07:16
The possibility of an increase in electricity prices in the near future is growing.
This round of off-season power shortage is burning the country, and there is a large power gap in Central China and East China. A large number of factories have been cut off, and some areas even affect residents' electricity. The latest news said that the power limit even spread to the first An industry and a tertiary industry.
In view of the causes of this power shortage, the outside world generally comes down to the fact that the southern drought has led to insufficient hydropower output in the south, high energy-consuming industries have re-emerged to increase demand for electricity, construction of power channels has lagged, and renewable energy cannot be effectively replaced, but the most important ones. The reason is that thermal power companies are not able to operate at a loss, affecting power generation enthusiasm and power generation capacity.
According to data released by the State Electricity Regulatory Commission recently, the five major power generation groups in the country have suffered huge losses of 60 billion in three years. The coal price of Qinhuangdao Port's eight consecutive rises is also pushing up the cost of running electricity. In many places, power plants have also been reported. Because of the serious losses, banks have lowered their loan ratings, which has led to the news that many power plants are short of money to buy coal.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics recently, China's consumer price (CPI) rose by 5.3% year-on-year in April. Although the growth rate slowed down, the industry believes that inflationary pressures remain high. It has been argued that electricity, as an upstream resource that has a significant impact on the development of the national economy, will have additional pressure on inflation.
However, the current grim objective reality is that the growing power shortage has affected China's economic development and the living standards of Chinese people. The author believes that the price increase in the relevant two-phase trade-offs is difficult to avoid, there are several reasons to support the recent increase in electricity prices.
First, through the price adjustment, the power generation enthusiasm of thermal power enterprises will be appropriately increased, so that the power shortage will no longer spread, and at the same time prepare for the upcoming summer power load peak.
Second, the rationality of the policy. As early as the end of 2004, in response to the asymmetric situation of market coal planning, the state introduced a coal-electricity linkage policy, stipulating that a coal-fired electricity price linkage period of not less than six months, if the average coal price in the cycle changes from the previous cycle If it reaches or exceeds 5%, the price will be adjusted accordingly. Since 2005, the coal-electricity linkage has been launched twice. Since then, regardless of the increase in coal prices, the coal-electricity linkage mechanism has not been well implemented. In other words, from the perspective of coal-electricity linkage policy, it is now in line with the price increase.
Third, energy conservation and emission reduction and adjustment of industrial structure. At the end of last year, a number of high-energy-consuming enterprises were confined to power-saving energy-saving emission reduction targets. At that time, the industry worried that the demand for electricity from these high-energy-consuming enterprises would usher in a retaliatory rebound this year. Since the beginning of this year, many local governments have invested more in the G D P impulsive performance on high-energy-consuming enterprises with quick results. The heavy industry has accelerated significantly, and the demand for electricity in high-energy-consuming industries has increased significantly. If the price can be raised appropriately, it will help eliminate high-energy-consuming enterprises and accelerate the adjustment of industrial structure.
Fourth, paving the way for power demand side management encouraged by the state. In the case that the power supply terminal cannot be effectively resolved in a short period of time, the potential side tapping potential is worth looking forward to. The increase in electricity prices can pave the way for China's wider implementation of peak and valley time-sharing electricity prices and ladder price, which can also reflect the scarcity of energy resources and eliminate waste.
Before the current market-oriented reform of electricity prices has not been completed, in the case of the power shortage "burning eyebrows", raising the electricity price is an expedient measure to alleviate the power shortage.
This round of off-season power shortage is burning the country, and there is a large power gap in Central China and East China. A large number of factories have been cut off, and some areas even affect residents' electricity. The latest news said that the power limit even spread to the first An industry and a tertiary industry.
In view of the causes of this power shortage, the outside world generally comes down to the fact that the southern drought has led to insufficient hydropower output in the south, high energy-consuming industries have re-emerged to increase demand for electricity, construction of power channels has lagged, and renewable energy cannot be effectively replaced, but the most important ones. The reason is that thermal power companies are not able to operate at a loss, affecting power generation enthusiasm and power generation capacity.
According to data released by the State Electricity Regulatory Commission recently, the five major power generation groups in the country have suffered huge losses of 60 billion in three years. The coal price of Qinhuangdao Port's eight consecutive rises is also pushing up the cost of running electricity. In many places, power plants have also been reported. Because of the serious losses, banks have lowered their loan ratings, which has led to the news that many power plants are short of money to buy coal.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics recently, China's consumer price (CPI) rose by 5.3% year-on-year in April. Although the growth rate slowed down, the industry believes that inflationary pressures remain high. It has been argued that electricity, as an upstream resource that has a significant impact on the development of the national economy, will have additional pressure on inflation.
However, the current grim objective reality is that the growing power shortage has affected China's economic development and the living standards of Chinese people. The author believes that the price increase in the relevant two-phase trade-offs is difficult to avoid, there are several reasons to support the recent increase in electricity prices.
First, through the price adjustment, the power generation enthusiasm of thermal power enterprises will be appropriately increased, so that the power shortage will no longer spread, and at the same time prepare for the upcoming summer power load peak.
Second, the rationality of the policy. As early as the end of 2004, in response to the asymmetric situation of market coal planning, the state introduced a coal-electricity linkage policy, stipulating that a coal-fired electricity price linkage period of not less than six months, if the average coal price in the cycle changes from the previous cycle If it reaches or exceeds 5%, the price will be adjusted accordingly. Since 2005, the coal-electricity linkage has been launched twice. Since then, regardless of the increase in coal prices, the coal-electricity linkage mechanism has not been well implemented. In other words, from the perspective of coal-electricity linkage policy, it is now in line with the price increase.
Third, energy conservation and emission reduction and adjustment of industrial structure. At the end of last year, a number of high-energy-consuming enterprises were confined to power-saving energy-saving emission reduction targets. At that time, the industry worried that the demand for electricity from these high-energy-consuming enterprises would usher in a retaliatory rebound this year. Since the beginning of this year, many local governments have invested more in the G D P impulsive performance on high-energy-consuming enterprises with quick results. The heavy industry has accelerated significantly, and the demand for electricity in high-energy-consuming industries has increased significantly. If the price can be raised appropriately, it will help eliminate high-energy-consuming enterprises and accelerate the adjustment of industrial structure.
Fourth, paving the way for power demand side management encouraged by the state. In the case that the power supply terminal cannot be effectively resolved in a short period of time, the potential side tapping potential is worth looking forward to. The increase in electricity prices can pave the way for China's wider implementation of peak and valley time-sharing electricity prices and ladder price, which can also reflect the scarcity of energy resources and eliminate waste.
Before the current market-oriented reform of electricity prices has not been completed, in the case of the power shortage "burning eyebrows", raising the electricity price is an expedient measure to alleviate the power shortage.
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